Cursor能否在SpaceX内部继续作为OpenAI和Anthropic模型的平台?

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Cursor能否在SpaceX内部继续作为OpenAI和Anthropic模型的平台?

内容来源:https://www.wired.com/story/can-cursor-remain-an-open-platform-inside-of-spacex/

内容总结:

SpaceX豪掷600亿美元收购AI编程新星Cursor,行业格局面临重塑

自上月SpaceX宣布以600亿美元收购热门AI编程初创公司Cursor以来,业界普遍看好这笔交易能为双方带来共赢。对Cursor而言,它将获得顶尖AI实验室的计算资源以训练自有模型;而马斯克及SpaceX则将拥有市场上最受欢迎的AI开发者工具之一。

然而,这笔收购引发了一个关键疑问:Cursor能否在交易后继续保持开放平台属性?是否仍允许竞争对手的AI实验室在其平台上提供模型?历史数据显示,第三方AI模型一直是Cursor业务的核心。尽管Cursor近年已开始自研模型,但始终允许用户自由选择来自Anthropic、OpenAI等实验室的模型来驱动其编程助手。这一策略既让用户能随时选用性价比最高的模型,也使Anthropic和OpenAI受益匪浅——Cursor不仅是它们的大客户,也常出现在它们的宣传材料中。

据知情人士透露,收购完成后(预计今年晚些时候),Cursor仍希望作为平台继续运营,在提供自研模型的同时,也继续接入Anthropic、OpenAI等实验室的模型。但这一愿景能否实现,已成为悬在AI行业上空的重大问号。

竞合关系面临考验

Cursor与OpenAI、Anthropic的关系此前就曾经历波折。过去,Cursor通过分发后者的模型实现互补,但随着OpenAI的Codex和Anthropic的Claude Code成为各自核心业务,双方已从合作走向直接竞争。SpaceX的收购无疑将加剧这一紧张关系。

由于交易尚待监管批准,SpaceX和Cursor目前无法透露太多运营细节。但一旦交易落地,SpaceX将获得Cursor的资产、客户合同和知识产权——这意味着OpenAI和Anthropic若想触达Cursor的用户,将不得不与马斯克打交道。

历史经验表明,AI实验室之间在模型销售上并不总是“一团和气”。去年,OpenAI传出收购另一家AI编程初创公司Windsurf后,Anthropic立刻切断了对其的模型供应。Anthropic联合创始人当时直言,“把Claude卖给OpenAI会很奇怪”。此后,Anthropic一直限制OpenAI和SpaceX使用其Claude模型。

但局面可能正在发生变化。Anthropic近期与SpaceX达成了价值数十亿美元的计算资源采购协议,这表明双方CEO或许愿意搁置分歧,共同应对“敌人”OpenAI。这笔计算合作可能成为Anthropic继续在Cursor上提供模型的重要理由。

对于OpenAI而言,继续与Cursor合作也有其考量。Cursor曾是OpenAI的重要合作伙伴,OpenAI高管此前也曾初步探讨过收购它。此外,OpenAI的创业基金还是Cursor种子轮和A轮融资的早期投资者。知情人士称,这笔收购将使该基金通过获得SpaceX股票获得可观的回报。不过OpenAI强调,公司本身并非该基金的直接投资者。

平台独立性之争

Palantir CEO亚历克斯·卡普近期在CNBC上指出,企业界已厌倦被锁定在头部AI实验室中,渴望更多选择。Factory(另一家AI编程初创公司)CTO雷诺兹表示,“模型独立性”对《财富》500强客户至关重要,能提供灵活性。他认为,这是独立AI编程初创公司相对于AI实验室的一大优势,而Cursor过去也将独立性作为卖点之一。

然而,直接与AI实验室合作并超越单纯平台身份,也有巨大好处。Cursor CEO迈克尔·特雷尔上月宣布,公司已与SpaceX合作训练下一代AI模型,其计算能力将是此前的10到20倍,有望媲美甚至超越OpenAI和Anthropic的模型。Cursor此前曾表示,计算资源不足一直是其瓶颈,而借助SpaceX的数据中心,这一瓶颈有望打破。

特雷尔还透露,新模型将“超越编程领域”,具备更广泛的智能。过去一年,Cursor已开始瞄准程序员以外的用户群体,例如为平面设计师提供功能。收购完成后,Cursor很可能成为SpaceX的企业级AI部门。

另一个值得关注的因素是,目前小型AI编程初创公司难以与OpenAI和Anthropic提供的高补贴订阅服务竞争(后者每月200美元的套餐可提供远超1000美元价值的模型使用额度)。如今背靠SpaceX的Cursor,或许也能推出同样激进的价格策略。

笔者数月前造访Cursor办公室时曾指出,该公司的主要问题是缺乏足够的资金和算力来实现其雄心。即便失去与OpenAI和Anthropic的合作,并入SpaceX对Cursor而言仍是更好选择。但如果Cursor能在保持合作的同时实现激烈竞争,这笔交易或将成为AI时代最伟大的收购之一。

中文翻译:

上月,SpaceX宣布已同意以600亿美元收购热门AI编程初创公司Cursor时,投资者们普遍认为这笔交易对两家公司而言都是利好。Cursor将受益于获得大型AI实验室的计算资源,用于训练自身模型;而SpaceX和埃隆·马斯克则将拥有市场上最受欢迎的AI开发者工具之一。

尚不明确的是,Cursor在交易完成后能否继续保持开放平台模式,以及竞争对手AI实验室是否仍允许其提供他们的模型。第三方AI模型历来在Cursor的业务中扮演着关键角色。尽管该公司近年来已开始训练自有AI模型,但它始终允许用户从Anthropic、OpenAI及其他AI实验室提供的多种模型中选择,为其编程助手提供支持。

这一策略让Cursor能在特定时刻为用户提供最佳或最廉价的模型。同时,这也惠及了Anthropic和OpenAI——两者均将Cursor列为最大客户之一,并在宣传材料中重点展示这家初创公司。

据Cursor内部人士透露,在SpaceX收购于今年晚些时候完成后,Cursor希望继续将其AI编程产品作为平台运营——在提供自有模型的同时,也接入Anthropic、OpenAI及其他AI实验室的模型。

我对这一愿景最终能否实现持保留态度,但Cursor能否保持模型中立,仍是悬在AI行业上空的最大问号之一。

与Cursor竞争的较小AI编程初创公司Factory的联合创始人兼首席技术官埃诺·雷耶斯表示,他并不认为SpaceX的竞争对手会仅仅因为Cursor被竞争性AI实验室收购就自动切断合作。"我不确定这个决定是否非黑即白,"雷耶斯告诉我,"实际上这对我们来说也非常不明确。"

Cursor拒绝对本文置评。Anthropic、OpenAI和SpaceX均未回应评论请求。

亦敌亦友

这并非Cursor与OpenAI及Anthropic的关系首次面临考验。过去,Cursor通过其编程平台分销后者的模型,与AI实验室形成互补关系。但随着OpenAI的Codex和Anthropic的Claude Code成为各自业务的重要支柱,Cursor与它们的直接竞争日益加剧。SpaceX的收购很可能只会让这种竞争愈发激烈。

根据SpaceX向美国证券交易委员会提交的文件,由于交易尚未完成且需"必要的监管批准",SpaceX和Cursor无法透露太多关于收购后运营方式的信息。但SpaceX即将获得Cursor的资产、客户合同和知识产权——这意味着OpenAI和Anthropic若想触达Cursor的用户,将不得不与马斯克打交道。

一旦收购完成,SpaceX可能决定不向Anthropic和OpenAI输送业务——这两者是其在前沿AI开发领域最大的竞争对手之一。而Anthropic和OpenAI也可能确定不愿通过马斯克拥有的产品销售其AI模型,毕竟两家公司的CEO达里奥·阿莫代伊和山姆·奥特曼过去都与马斯克发生过冲突。

从历史上看,AI实验室在向彼此销售AI模型时并未展现出良好合作态度。去年,在OpenAI收购AI编程初创公司Windsurf的消息传出后(该交易最终未能达成),Anthropic迅速切断了对其的访问权限。Anthropic联合创始人贾里德·卡普兰当时表示"向OpenAI出售Claude会很奇怪"。此后数月,Anthropic一直致力于限制OpenAI和SpaceX使用其Claude AI模型。

但时局可能正在改变。Anthropic近期与SpaceX达成了一项价值数十亿美元的协议,购买其计算资源——这表明阿莫代伊和马斯克或许愿意为了共同对抗共同敌人OpenAI而搁置分歧。这笔计算资源合作或许足以让Anthropic继续在Cursor中提供其AI模型。

OpenAI则可能有不同理由继续与Cursor合作。这家初创公司是OpenAI的重要合作伙伴,其高管过去曾就收购事宜进行过初步讨论。OpenAI的创业基金也是Cursor最早期的投资者之一,参与了该公司的种子轮和A轮融资。据Cursor内部人士透露,通过这笔收购,OpenAI的创业基金有望以SpaceX股票的形式获得可观的Cursor投资回报。

OpenAI在其网站上表示,公司本身并非OpenAI创业基金的直接投资者——该基金最初由奥特曼设立和管理。该创业基金接受微软等外部方及其他OpenAI合作伙伴的投资。

独立性是否重要?

Palantir首席执行官亚历克斯·卡普本周在CNBC的节目中道出了我从AI行业听到的普遍担忧:企业已厌倦被锁定在前沿AI实验室中,渴望更多选择。

Factory首席技术官雷耶斯表示,"模型独立性"——即避免与任何单一AI实验室技术绑定的能力——对他接触的《财富》500强企业而言至关重要,因为这能提供灵活性。雷耶斯认为,这是他这类独立AI编程初创公司相对于大型AI实验室的关键优势之一。过去,Cursor也曾将独立性作为自身优势来强调。

然而,与AI实验室直接合作、而非仅仅充当平台,也带来显著益处。Cursor首席执行官迈克尔·特鲁尔上月在Compile大会上宣布,该公司已与SpaceX合作训练其下一代AI模型,其使用的算力将是此前可获取资源的10到20倍。这有望使新模型与OpenAI和Anthropic的产品相媲美,甚至更胜一筹。在四月的一篇博客文章中,Cursor表示其计算资源不足一直是发展瓶颈,如今相信借助SpaceX的数据中心可大幅提升模型性能。

在Compile大会上,特鲁尔补充道,Cursor正在训练其新AI模型以实现"超越编程领域的智能"。过去一年里,Cursor已开始瞄准软件工程师以外的潜在客户群体,为平面设计师等人群推出定制功能。收购完成后,即使Cursor实质上成为SpaceX的企业AI部门,我也不会感到意外。

另一个需要考虑的因素是:当前,小型AI编程初创公司正艰难地与OpenAI和Anthropic向开发者提供的高补贴AI编程订阅服务竞争。《连线》此前报道,OpenAI和Anthropic每月200美元的订阅计划可为程序员提供价值超过1000美元的模型使用量。如今,作为SpaceX一部分的Cursor,或许也能提供同样激进的价格策略。

几个月前,在SpaceX收购消息传出前不久,我曾到访Cursor办公室,当时我认为这家初创公司的主要问题是缺乏足够的资金和算力来实现其宏大抱负。在我看来,即使失去与OpenAI和Anthropic的合作关系,加入SpaceX对Cursor而言也是更优选择。但如果Cursor能在做好"朋友"的同时激烈竞争,那么这或许将成为AI时代最伟大的收购之一。

本文选自马克斯·泽夫《模型行为》通讯专栏。点击此处阅读往期内容。

英文来源:

When SpaceX announced last month that it had agreed to acquire the popular AI coding startup Cursor for $60 billion, investors believed the deal would be a boon for both companies. Cursor would benefit from getting the computing resources of a major AI lab, which it could use to train its own models. In turn, SpaceX and Elon Musk would own one of the most popular AI developer tools on the market.
What was less clear was whether Cursor could remain an open platform after the deal, or if rival AI labs would continue letting it offer their models. Third-party AI models have historically played a critical role in Cursor’s business. While the company has started training its own AI models in recent years, it has always allowed users to choose from a variety of offerings from Anthropic, OpenAI, and other AI labs to power its coding assistant.
That strategy allowed Cursor to offer customers whichever model was the best, or cheapest, at a given moment. It also benefited Anthropic and OpenAI, which both count Cursor among their largest customers and feature the startup prominently in their marketing materials.
After SpaceX’s acquisition is finalized later this year, Cursor hopes to continue operating its AI coding product as a platform—serving models from Anthropic, OpenAI, and other AI labs alongside its own—according to people close to Cursor.
I have my doubts about how this will actually play out, but whether or not Cursor remains model agnostic is one of the biggest questions hanging over the AI industry.
Eno Reyes, the cofounder and chief technology officer of Factory, a smaller AI coding startup that competes with Cursor, says he’s not certain that SpaceX’s rivals will automatically cut Cursor off just because it will be owned by a competing AI lab. “I don't know if the decision is as black and white,” Reyes tells me. “It’s actually super unclear to us.”
Cursor declined to comment for this story. Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX did not respond to requests for comment.
Making Frenemies
This is not the first time that Cursor’s relationship with OpenAI and Anthropic has been tested. Historically, Cursor complemented the AI labs by distributing their models through its coding platform. But now it has increasingly found itself in direct competition with them as OpenAI’s Codex and Anthropic’s Claude Code have become major lines of their respective businesses. The SpaceX acquisition will likely only intensify that rivalry.
SpaceX and Cursor can’t say a lot about how they’ll operate post-acquisition, in part, because the deal has not yet closed and remains subject to “requisite regulatory approvals,” according to documents SpaceX filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. But SpaceX is poised to get Cursor’s assets, customer contracts, and intellectual property—meaning that OpenAI and Anthropic will now have to do business with Musk if they want to reach Cursor’s users.
Once the acquisition is finalized, it’s possible SpaceX will decide it doesn’t want to send business towards Anthropic and OpenAI, two of its biggest competitors in the frontier AI development space. Anthropic and OpenAI may determine they are unwilling to sell their AI models through a product owned by Musk, who both companies’ CEOs, Dario Amodei and Sam Altman, have butted heads with in the past.
Historically, AI labs have not played nicely when it comes to selling AI models to one another. Last year, Anthropic was quick to cut off access to Windsurf after news broke that OpenAI was acquiring the AI coding startup (the deal ultimately didn’t pan out). Anthropic cofounder Jared Kaplan said at the time that it “would be odd to sell Claude to OpenAI.” In the months since, Anthropic has worked to limit OpenAI and SpaceX from using its Claude AI models.
But times may be changing. Anthropic recently struck a multi-billion dollar deal to buy computing resources from SpaceX, which suggests that Amodei and Musk may be willing to put aside their differences for the sake of beating their mutual enemy: OpenAI. That compute partnership may be reason enough for Anthropic to continue offering its AI models in Cursor.
OpenAI may find that it has different reasons to continue working with Cursor. The startup is a major partner of OpenAI, and the AI lab’s executives held preliminary discussions about acquiring it in the past. OpenAI’s startup fund was also one of the earliest investors in Cursor, participating in the company’s seed and Series A funding rounds. OpenAI’s startup fund is poised to see a significant return on its Cursor investment in the form of SpaceX stock as a result of the acquisition, according to people close to Cursor.
OpenAI says on its website that the company itself is not directly an investor in OpenAI’s startup fund, which was originally set up and managed by Altman. The startup fund receives investment from outside parties, such as Microsoft, as well as other OpenAI partners.
Is Independence Important?
Palantir CEO Alex Karp highlighted a broader concern I’ve been hearing from the AI industry in a viral CNBC appearance this week: Businesses are getting tired of being locked into the frontier AI labs, and want more options.
Reyes, the Factory CTO, says that “model independence”—the ability to avoid being tied to any one AI lab’s technology—is important to the Fortune 500 companies he speaks with because it offers them flexibility. Reyes believes this is one of the key advantages that independent AI coding startups like his have over the major AI labs. In the past, Cursor has highlighted its independence as an advantage as well.
However, there are significant benefits to working with an AI lab directly and being more than just a platform. Cursor CEO Michael Truell announced at its Compile conference last month that the startup is already partnering with SpaceX to train its next AI model, which will use ten to twenty times more computing power than the company could previously access. The hope is that will make the new model comparable to, or even better than, what OpenAI and Anthropic are offering. In a blog post from April, Cursor said that its lack of computing resources has been holding it back, and it now believes it can dramatically improve its models by relying on SpaceX’s data centers.
At the Compile conference, Truell added that Cursor is training its new AI model to be “intelligent beyond coding.” Over the last year, Cursor has started targeting other potential customer demographics beyond software engineers, shipping features catered toward people like graphic designers. After the acquisition closes, I wouldn’t be surprised if Cursor effectively becomes an enterprise AI arm of SpaceX.
Another factor to consider: Smaller AI coding startups are struggling to compete right now with the highly subsidized AI coding subscriptions that OpenAI and Anthropic offer developers. WIRED previously reported that OpenAI and Anthropic’s $200 monthly subscription plan can provide coders with well over $1000 of model usage. Now that Cursor is part of SpaceX, it may also be able to offer similarly aggressive pricing.
When I visited Cursor’s office a few months ago, shortly before news broke about the SpaceX acquisition, I argued that the startup’s main problem was that it didn’t have enough capital and computing power to achieve its lofty ambitions. I’d argue that Cursor is better off inside of SpaceX, even if it loses its relationship with OpenAI and Anthropic. But if Cursor can play nice and compete fiercely at the same time, then this might end up being one of the great acquisitions of the AI era.
This is an edition of Maxwell Zeff’s Model Behavior newsletter. Read previous newsletters here.

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